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Championship header 2

League Two

Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Newport County

Doncaster
1 - 3
Newport

Demetriou (12' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Farquharson (64'), Wildig (71'), Norman (79')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Doncaster
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Mansfield
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawNewport County
31.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)27.72% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)40.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.91% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)57.78% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.48% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)78.52% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.4% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)33.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.76% (-0.012 -0.01)70.24% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.85% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)63.45% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 31.56%
    Newport County 40.71%
    Draw 27.71%
Doncaster RoversDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.56%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 40.71%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 21
Newport
0-1
Doncaster
Knoyle (58')
Maxwell (63')
Feb 10, 2017 7.45pm
Newport
0-0
Doncaster

Jones (65'), Rose (68'), Butler (72')

Wright (70'), Marquis (90')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
Doncaster
2-0
Newport
Coppinger (17'), Williams (59')
Butler (34'), Wright (71'), Marquis (78')

Parkin (45'), Turley (74'), Bennett (81'), Butler (83')