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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Colchester United |
26.36% ( 0) | 28.45% ( -0) | 45.19% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 43.33% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.74% ( 0) | 62.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.07% ( 0) | 81.92% ( -0) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.82% ( 0.01) | 40.17% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.19% ( 0.01) | 76.81% ( -0.01) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.43% ( -0) | 27.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.91% ( -0) | 63.08% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.35% Total : 26.35% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.44% | 0-1 @ 14.26% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.27% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.71% Total : 45.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |