Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.