Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match.