League Two

League Two | 1st Leg

May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bradford
1 - 0
Carlisle

(Carlisle United win 3-2 on aggregate)

Walker (18')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions

Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Leyton Orient
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Carlisle
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match.

Result
Bradford City	Draw	Carlisle United
39.74% ( 0.12)	27.84% ( -0.09)	32.43% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.83% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42% (

0.35)

58% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.31% (

0.27)

78.69% (

-0.27)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

0.24)

28.5% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.72% (

0.29)

64.28% (

-0.29)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.9% (

0.17)

33.11% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.3% (

0.19)

69.7% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Bradford City 39.73%

Carlisle United 32.43%

Draw 27.83%

Bradford City	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 39.73%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.43%