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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The County Ground
Crawley Town

Swindon
2 - 1
Crawley

Austin (41'), Cain (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Telford (62' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
52.84% (-0.012 -0.01)24.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)22.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.47% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (0.044999999999995 0.04)50.01% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (0.039000000000001 0.04)71.99% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (0.012 0.01)18.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.019999999999996 0.02)50.36% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (0.042000000000002 0.04)36.55% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (0.042999999999999 0.04)73.34% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 52.83%
    Crawley Town 22.82%
    Draw 24.34%
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.82%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Crawley
2-0
Swindon
Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')

Reed (32')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 38
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 16
Swindon
1-1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
gameweek 40
Swindon
P-P
Crawley
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
gameweek 16
Crawley
0-4
Swindon

Tunnicliffe (47'), Dallison (58'), Grego-Cox (69'), Allarakhia (81')
Doyle (5', 44', 61'), Yates (87')
Grant (66')