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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Gillingham |
| 39.79% ( | 27.95% ( | 32.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.54% ( | 58.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.95% ( | 79.05% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( | 28.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( | 64.52% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( | 33.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% ( | 70.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.78% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.26% |