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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Gillingham

Sutton
0 - 1
Gillingham


Angol (5'), Milsom (25')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nadesan (10')
Coleman (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawGillingham
39.79% (-0.171 -0.17)27.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.26% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.45% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.46% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95% (0.012999999999998 0.01)79.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)28.69% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.114 -0.11)64.52% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (0.127 0.13)33.46% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (0.136 0.14)70.09% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.78%
    Gillingham 32.26%
    Draw 27.95%
Sutton UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 39.78%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 10.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.26%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Sutton
2-1
Gillingham
Baggott (43' og.), Eastmond (90+3')
McKenzie (78')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Gillingham
1-0
Sutton
MacDonald (90+1')