Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.