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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Salford City |
| 48.38% ( | 25.71% ( | 25.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.15% ( | 52.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.53% ( | 74.47% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( | 21.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% ( | 55.09% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.63% ( | 35.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.87% ( | 72.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.38% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 2-2 @ 4.83% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.9% |