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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 13.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Hartlepool United |
65.76% ( 0.05) | 20.49% ( -0.02) | 13.74% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.23% ( 0.02) | 47.77% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.04% ( 0.02) | 69.96% ( -0.02) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.3% ( 0.02) | 13.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.08% ( 0.04) | 40.92% ( -0.05) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.04% ( -0.03) | 45.95% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.31% ( -0.03) | 81.69% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 12.51% 2-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.58% Total : 65.75% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.49% | 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.21% Total : 13.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 44 | 47 | 89 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 82 |
P | Wrexham | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 51 | 33 | 82 |
4 | MK Dons | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 74 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 66 |
8 | Walsall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 66 | 65 | 1 | 65 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 64 |
10 | Gillingham | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 63 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 62 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 60 |
14 | Notts County | 44 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 85 | 3 | 58 |
15 | Morecambe | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 57 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 55 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 16 | 6 | 22 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 54 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 47 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 46 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 41 | 77 | -36 | 36 |
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