Stockport were by far and away the best team in League Two in the second half of the season, and they were only denied automatic promotion because of a very slow start, as they readjusted to life back in the EFL.
Not only that, but Salford were very poor at home all season, most recently putting in a disappointing performance against Gillingham in an important game, so it is likely the visitors emerge with a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salford City in this match.
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