League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Tom Nichols 17' goal
  • goal Cameron Norman 8'
  • goal Cameron Norman 9'
  • goal Omar Bogle 78'

Gillingham vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Bradford 2 - 2 Gillingham
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tom Nichols

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Newport 2 - 3 Harrogate
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Omar Bogle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Gillingham 39.16% (+0.02)
Draw 28.7% (-0.01)
Newport County 32.14% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.31% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.89% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 61.1% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 18.93% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 81.07% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 7.73% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 92.27% (-0.01)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 69.64% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.35% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.45% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.54% (-0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 65.05% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.94% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.31%
Under 1.5 71.68% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Gillingham 39.16%
Draw 28.68%
Newport County 32.14%
Gillingham
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 7.93% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 39.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 10.6% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.68%
Newport County
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 32.14%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Priestley Farquharson 43' goal
  • Priestley Farquharson 56' goal
EFL Cup Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
2
2
ET
  • Brandon Hanlan 26' goal
  • Mikael Ndjoli 58' yellowcard
  • Mikael Ndjoli 90' goal
  • Mikael Ndjoli 93' redcard
  • goal Tristan Abrahams 84'
  • yellowcard Kyle Howkins 89'
  • goal Padraig Amond 94'