League Two

League Two | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
1 - 2
Newport

Nichols (17' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-2)

Norman (8', 9'), Bogle (78')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Gillingham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 2-3 Harrogate
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Newport County
39.16% ( 0.02)	28.7% ( -0.01)	32.14% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.31% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.89% (

0.02)

61.1% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.93% (

0.01)

81.07% (

-0.01)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64% (

0.02)

30.35% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.45% (

0.02)

66.54% (

-0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.05% (

34.94% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.31%

71.68% (

Score Analysis

Gillingham 39.16%

Newport County 32.14%

Draw 28.68%

Gillingham	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.16%	1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.68%	0-1 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.17% Total : 32.14%