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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Gillingham
1 - 0
Accrington

Nadesan (29')
Jefferies (4'), Ogie (58'), Ehmer (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Andrews (26'), Bagueloc'rich (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 3-1 Southampton
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Bradford (1-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawAccrington Stanley
28.77% (0.152 0.15)26.91% (-0.058 -0.06)44.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21% (0.285 0.29)55.79% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08% (0.232 0.23)76.92% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.268 0.27)34.63% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.284 0.28)71.35% (-0.286 -0.29)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (0.079999999999998 0.08)25.04% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (0.111 0.11)59.71% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 28.77%
    Accrington Stanley 44.3%
    Draw 26.91%
GillinghamDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.75% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 28.77%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 12% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.31% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 44.3%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Accrington
1-2
Gillingham
Bishop (90+1' pen.)
Adedoyin (62'), Sykes (66')
Kelman (64'), Oliver (73')
Thompson (81')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Gillingham
0-0
Accrington
Tucker (90+3')
Sykes (62'), Morgan (84')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Accrington
0-1
Gillingham

Sykes (45'), Nottingham (62')
Dempsey (45+1')
Jackson (80')
Dec 15, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Gillingham
0-2
Accrington

O'Connor (73')
Bishop (44'), Charles (64')
Butcher (90')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 41
Gillingham
P-P
Accrington