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Championship header 2

League Two
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Newport County

Accrington
3 - 0
Newport

Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bristol City 8-0 Newport
Saturday, July 22 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Newport County

 Both teams have undergone plenty of change in terms of playing personnel during the summer transfer window so far, but the fact that they have retained their managers should help settle things down. Accrington will be hoping to bounce back to the third tier at the first attempt this season, and we can envisage them having a little too much quality for their opponents in a potentially entertaining encounter on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
34.6% (0.144 0.14) 25.95% (-0.373 -0.37) 39.44% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.19% (1.267 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (1.611 1.61)50.14% (-1.609 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89% (1.417 1.42)72.1% (-1.416 -1.42)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.86799999999999 0.87)27.75% (-0.868 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (1.1 1.1)63.32% (-1.099 -1.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.861 0.86)25% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (1.18 1.18)59.65% (-1.18 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 34.6%
    Newport County 39.44%
    Draw 25.95%
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.6%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.384 -0.38)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.44%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Newport
2-1
Accrington
Amond (30'), Nouble (85')
White (66'), Demetriou (88')
Kee (90')
Brown (61')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Newport
Wilks (88')
Nouble (48')
Tozer (90')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Newport
1-0
Accrington
Randall (60')
Rigg (29'), O'Brien (38'), Owen-Evans (96')

Brown (83'), McCartan (91')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-3
Newport
Donacien (79')
Gornell (44'), McCartan (85')
Healey (47'), Barnum-Bobb (62'), Sheehan (94')
Rigg (56'), Myrie-Williams (65'), Sheehan (91')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Newport
0-2
Accrington
Kee (35'), Windass (37')
Davies (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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