League Two

League Two | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
3 - 0
Newport

Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bristol City 8-0 Newport
Saturday, July 22 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Newport County
34.6% ( 0.14)	25.95% ( -0.37)	39.44% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 54.19% (

1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.86% (

1.61)

50.14% (

-1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.89% (

1.42)

72.1% (

-1.42)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

0.87)

27.75% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68% (

1.1)

63.32% (

-1.1)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

0.86)

25% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35% (

1.18)

59.65% (

-1.18)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 34.6%

Newport County 39.44%

Draw 25.95%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.6%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.44%