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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrelog.png)
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Omar Bogle
77'
-
Omar Bogle
90'+1'
-
Rio Adebisi
56'
-
Lachlan Brook
90'+3'
Newport County vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result
Newport County
58.72%
▼
(-0.36)
Draw
23.62%
▲
(+0.17)
Crewe Alexandra
17.65%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
45.93%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.6%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 2.5
53.39%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 3.5
25.07%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
74.93%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 4.5
11.4%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 4.5
88.6%
▲
(+0.20)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
82.06%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
17.93%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
51.24%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
48.76%
▲
(+0.45)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5
55.96%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
44.03%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
19.85%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
80.15%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Newport County
58.72%
Draw
23.62%
Crewe Alexandra
17.65%
Newport County
1-0
@
13.57%
▲
(+0.09)
2-0 @ 11.66% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 58.72%
2-0 @ 11.66% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 58.72%
Draw
1-1
@
11.13%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.62%
0-0 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.62%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1
@
6.48%
▲
(+0.10)
1-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.65%
1-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.65%
Olly Lancashire
9'