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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crewe Alexandra

Newport
2 - 2
Crewe

Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Newport County and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Newport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 3-2 Bradford
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
58.72% (-0.358 -0.36)23.62% (0.167 0.17)17.65% (0.19 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-0.359 -0.36)53.39% (0.357 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (-0.304 -0.3)74.93% (0.303 0.3)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.261 -0.26)17.93% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-0.45 -0.45)48.76% (0.44900000000001 0.45)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (0.027000000000001 0.03)44.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)80.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 58.72%
    Crewe Alexandra 17.65%
    Draw 23.62%
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 13.57% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.095 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.65%

How you voted: Newport vs Crewe

Newport County
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Crewe
1-2
Newport
Brook (13')
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
Drysdale (15')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
gameweek 43
Crewe
P-P
Newport
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
gameweek 5
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (93')

Lancashire (9')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
gameweek 28
Crewe
3-2
Newport
Bowery (34'), Porter (88' pen.), Ainley (90')
Ray (69')
Semenyo (65'), Amond (76')
Matt (72'), Semenyo (74')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
gameweek 2
Newport
1-0
Crewe
Amond (33')
Crofts (16')

Kirk (45')
rhs 2.0


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