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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 60.65% ( | 21.7% ( | 17.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( | 45.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% ( | 67.98% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( | 14.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.32% ( | 42.67% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( | 39.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.84% ( | 76.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 2-0 @ 10.66% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 6.84% ( 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 5-1 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 60.64% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 17.64% |