League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
0 - 3
Oxford Utd

FT(HT: 0-1)

Joseph (11'), Goodrham (46'), Bodin (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Oxford United
24.63% ( 0.02)	25.89% ( 0.01)	49.48% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.85% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.56% (

-0.01)

54.44% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.19% (

-0.01)

75.81% (

0.01)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66% (

0.01)

37.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.87% (

0.01)

74.13% (

-0.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

-0.02)

22.03% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63% (

-0.03)

55.36% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 24.63%

Oxford United 49.47%

Draw 25.89%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.63%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 12.44% 0-2 @ 9.41% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.47%