League One Gameweek 38
Oxford Utd
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
Cheltenham
  • Tyler Goodrham 38' goal
  • Kyle Joseph 52' goal
  • Marcus Browne 60' goal
  • Marcus Browne 65' goal

Oxford United vs Cheltenham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Barnsley 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Kyle Joseph

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Cheltenham 3 - 1 Forest Green
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Alfie May

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result

Oxford United 47.47% ▲ (+0.43)
Draw 26.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Cheltenham Town 26.45% ▼ (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.85% ▼ (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.07% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 2.5 53.93% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 24.62% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 75.38% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 4.5 11.12% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 4.5 88.88% ▲ (+0.16)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 77.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 22.72% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 43.61% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 56.39% ▼ (-0.11)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.5% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 0.5 35.5% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 1.5 27.74% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 1.5 72.26% ▲ (+0.54)

Score analysis

Oxford United 47.47%
Draw 26.08%
Cheltenham Town 26.45%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 11.95% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 47.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.08%
Cheltenham Town
0-1 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 26.45%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Oxford Utd
  • Ellis Chapman 43' yellowcard
  • Taylor Perry 63' goal
  • Caleb Taylor 84' yellowcard
  • Will Ferry 90' yellowcard
  • Ellis Chapman 90'+3' redcard
  • George Lloyd 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Christian Norton 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Joseph 61'
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 66'
  • yellowcard Billy Bodin 70'
  • redcard Billy Bodin 74'
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 86'
  • yellowcard Matt Taylor 90'
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 26
Oxford Utd
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Cheltenham
  • Mark Sykes 32' yellowcard
  • Mark Sykes 82' goal
  • yellowcard Conor Thomas 45'
  • goal Callum Wright 48'
  • yellowcard Matt Blair 58'
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 71'
  • yellowcard Owen Evans 72'
  • yellowcard Charlie Raglan 77'
League One Gameweek 8
Cheltenham
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Conor Thomas 65' yellowcard
  • Alfie May 68' goal
  • Matt Blair 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Long 90'+4'
EFL Trophy
Cheltenham
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium (Cheltenham, Gloucestershire)
Oxford Utd
  • Luke Varney 39' yellowcard
  • Craig Alcock 50' yellowcard
  • Kevin Dawson 64' goal
  • Alex Addai 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 36'
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 45'
EFL Cup
Oxford Utd
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 3 1
FT
Cheltenham
  • Marvin Johnson 21' goal
  • Jonathan Obika 31' goal
  • Xemi Fernandez 42' goal
  • Curtis Nelson 73' yellowcard
  • Ryan Ledson 80' yellowcard
  • Josh Ruffels 93' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 9'
  • goal Daniel Wright 66'
  • yellowcard Kyle Storer 78'
  • goal Daniel Wright 90'
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 99'
League Two
Oxford Utd
Jan 3, 2015 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Cheltenham
  • Andrew Whing 11' yellowcard
  • Wes Burns 20' goal
  • yellowcard Lloyd Jones 16'
  • goal Jack Dunn 40'
  • goal Kevin Stewart 45'
  • yellowcard Kevin Stewart 86'

Form Data

Barnsley 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 1 - 1 Portsmouth
Oxford Utd 0 - 1 Bolton
Port Vale 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 1 - 1 Sheff Weds
Peterborough 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
Cheltenham 3 - 1 Forest Green
MK Dons 2 - 2 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 1 - 1 Ipswich
Lincoln 2 - 0 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Cheltenham 2 - 2 Sheff Weds