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Championship header 2

League One

Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Cheltenham

Goodrham (38'), Joseph (52'), Browne (60', 65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
47.47% (0.424 0.42)26.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)26.45% (-0.426 -0.43)
Both teams to score 49.85% (-0.347 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.07% (-0.288 -0.29)53.93% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (-0.242 -0.24)75.38% (0.245 0.25)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.72% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (0.105 0.1)56.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.506 -0.51)35.5% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.528 -0.53)72.26% (0.53099999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 47.47%
    Cheltenham Town 26.45%
    Draw 26.08%
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cheltenham

Oxford United
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
Cheltenham Town
33.3%
18
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-2
Oxford Utd
Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')
Brannagan (66', 86')
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 26
Oxford Utd
1-1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Oxford Utd
May (68')
Thomas (65'), Blair (88')

Long (90+4')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Cheltenham
1-1
Oxford Utd
 Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Dawson (64')
Varney (39'), Alcock (50'), Addai (90')
Brannagan (45')
Brannagan (36')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
3-4
Cheltenham
Johnson (21'), Obika (31'), Fernandez (42')
Nelson (73'), Ledson (80'), Ruffels (93')
Eisa (9', 99'), Wright (66', 90')
Storer (78')