League One Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Alfie May 14' goal
  • Aidan Keena 32' goal
  • Alfie May 38' goal
  • goal Jordon Garrick 48'

Cheltenham Town vs Forest Green Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
MK Dons 2 - 2 Cheltenham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Alfie May

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Forest Green 0 - 0 Fleetwood
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Connor Wickham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result

Cheltenham Town 47.42% (-1.31)
Draw 25.59% (+0.40)
Forest Green Rovers 26.99% (+0.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.77% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.37% (-0.99)
Under 2.5 51.63% (+0.99)
Over 3.5 26.58% (-0.87)
Under 3.5 73.42% (+0.87)
Over 4.5 12.38% (-0.57)
Under 4.5 87.62% (+0.57)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.22% (-0.98)
Under 0.5 21.78% (+0.98)
Over 1.5 45.02% (-1.51)
Under 1.5 54.97% (+1.51)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 66.18% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 33.82% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 29.51% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 70.48% (-0.23)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 47.41%
Draw 25.59%
Forest Green Rovers 26.99%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.22% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.22)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 47.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 7.37% (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 25.59%
Forest Green Rovers
0-1 @ 7.99% (+0.36)
1-2 @ 6.6% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 4.33% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 2.38% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.99%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Myles Peart-Harris 75' goal
EFL Trophy
Nov 22, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Josh March 24' goal
  • goal Ryan Broom 69'
League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Ebou Adams 44' yellowcard
  • Ebou Adams 69' redcard
  • yellowcard Chris Clements 32'
  • yellowcard Will Boyle 49'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Will Boyle 11' goal
  • Will Boyle 14' yellowcard
  • Alfie May 26' yellowcard
  • Andrew Williams 57' goal
  • Liam Sercombe 59' yellowcard
  • Chris Clements 73' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Collins 74'
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 77'
League Two Gameweek 41
Mar 28, 2020 3.00pm
The New Lawn
League Two Gameweek 17
Nov 2, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Charlie Raglan 24' yellowcard
  • Luke Varney 67' goal
  • Chris Clements 86' yellowcard
  • Rohan Ince 90' yellowcard
  • Ben Tozer 93' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Aitchison 15'
  • goal Elliott Frear 40'
  • yellowcard Aaron Collins 89'