League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
3 - 1
Forest Green

May (14', 38'), Keena (32')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Garrick (48')

Coverage of the League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Forest Green Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 0-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
47.42% ( -1.3)	25.59% ( 0.4)	26.99% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 51.77% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.37% (

-0.99)

51.63% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58% (

-0.86)

73.42% (

0.86)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.22% (

-0.97)

21.78% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.02% (

-1.5)

54.97% (

1.5)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.18% (

0.21)

33.82% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

0.22)

70.48% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 47.41%

Forest Green Rovers 26.99%

Draw 25.59%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.41%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.99%