League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
1 - 2
Cambridge

Presley (83' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dunk (42'), Thomas (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Cambridge United
38.03% ( 0.78)	25.87% ( -0.08)	36.1% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 54.67% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.39% (

0.31)

49.6% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37% (

0.27)

71.62% (

-0.28)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48% (

0.57)

25.51% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63% (

0.78)

60.36% (

-0.78)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

-0.26)

26.6% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.17% (

-0.34)

61.82% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 38.03%

Cambridge United 36.1%

Draw 25.86%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.03%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.1%