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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Bolton
0 - 1
Accrington

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hamilton (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Accrington Stanley

Another slender victory is expected for the playoff chasers, who hope one goal is enough to secure maximum points against a side that have kept a sole clean sheet in their last 11 games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
71.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 17.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 10.99% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.7% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.87% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)43.13% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.47% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)65.53% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (0.0040000000000049 0)10.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.37% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.63% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)82.96% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 71.12%
    Accrington Stanley 10.99%
    Draw 17.89%
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 9.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.24% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 71.12%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.89%
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 10.99%

How you voted: Bolton vs Accrington

Bolton Wanderers
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Accrington Stanley
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals
Accrington
0-2
Bolton

Presley (21'), Coyle (41')
McConville (22')
Kachunga (82'), Morley (84')
Trafford (52'), Morley (64')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Accrington
2-3
Bolton
Whalley (8'), Johnston (48' og.)
Clark (42')
Rodgers (56' og.), Lee (71'), Afolayan (75')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Bolton
3-1
Accrington
Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 22
Accrington
1-0
Bolton
Leigh (20')
Amankwah (45'), Coyle (50'), Savin (63')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Bolton
0-0
Accrington

Bryan (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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