League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Bolton

Walker (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Adeboyejo (5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
22.54% ( 1.26)	22.84% ( 0.06)	54.61% ( -1.32)

Both teams to score 55.93% (

1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.08% (

1.24)

43.92% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.69% (

1.2)

66.3% (

-1.21)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.58% (

1.87)

33.42% (

-1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.95% (

70.04% (

-2.01)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.01% (

-0.02)

15.99% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.69% (

-0.03)

45.3% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 22.54%

Bolton Wanderers 54.61%

Draw 22.84%

Burton Albion	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.3% Total : 22.54%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.84%	1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.55) 0-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.49% Total : 54.61%