League One Gameweek 43
Burton Albion
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Bolton
  • Josh Walker 59' goal
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 5'

Burton Albion vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Burton Albion 3 - 2 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Victor Adeboyejo

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 0 - 1 Bolton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Burton Albion 22.54% ▲ (+1.26)
Draw 22.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Bolton Wanderers 54.61% ▼ (-1.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.93% ▲ (+1.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.08% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 2.5 43.92% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 3.5 33.69% ▲ (+1.20)
Under 3.5 66.3% ▼ (-1.21)
Over 4.5 17.3% ▲ (+0.87)
Under 4.5 82.7% ▼ (-0.88)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 66.58% ▲ (+1.88)
Under 0.5 33.42% ▼ (-1.88)
Over 1.5 29.95% ▲ (+2.01)
Under 1.5 70.04% ▼ (-2.02)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 84.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 15.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 54.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 45.3% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 22.54%
Draw 22.84%
Bolton Wanderers 54.61%
Burton Albion
2-1 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.28)
1-0 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.19)
3-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 22.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.73% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.26)
0-0 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.84%
Bolton Wanderers
1-2 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.55)
0-2 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.51)
1-3 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.32)
2-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.16)
1-4 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.15)
2-4 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.07)
1-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 54.61%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 13
Bolton
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Amadou Bakayoko 87' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 90'+8' goal
  • goal Sam Hughes 73'
League One Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Bolton
  • Joe Powell 11' goal
  • John Brayford 14' goal
  • John Brayford 18' goal
  • Michael Mancienne 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 68'
  • goal Dion Charles 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 6
Bolton
Sep 6, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Jordan Williams 36' yellowcard
  • Ian Evatt 90'+5' yellowcard
  • George Johnston 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 9'
  • yellowcard Lucas Akins 19'
  • yellowcard John Brayford 69'
  • yellowcard Conor Shaughnessy 80'
  • redcard John Brayford 86'
League One Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
Bolton
  • Jamie Murphy 28' goal
  • Jamie Murphy 65' goal
  • Joe Sbarra 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Delaney 20'
  • yellowcard Aristote Nsiala 34'
  • goal Ethan Hamilton 38'
League One Gameweek 25
Bolton
Jan 1, 2020 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 3
FT
Burton Albion
  • Joe Dodoo 5' goal
  • Daryl Murphy 11' goal
  • Luke Murphy 29' yellowcard
  • Luke Murphy 49' redcard
  • Will Buckley 75' yellowcard
  • Dennis Politic 84' goal
  • goal David Templeton 13'
  • goal Lucas Akins 26'
  • goal Lucas Akins 45'
  • yellowcard Scott Fraser 70'
  • goal Liam Boyce 81'
Championship
Burton Albion
Apr 28, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Bolton
  • Kyle McFadzean 11' yellowcard
  • Hope Akpan 28' goal
  • Lucas Akins 36' goal
  • Lucas Akins 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 33'
  • yellowcard Mark Beevers 75'

Form Data

Burton Albion 3 - 2 Sheff Weds
Charlton 3 - 2 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 2 - 1 Barnsley
Cheltenham 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Port Vale 2 - 3 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 2 - 5 Peterborough
Oxford Utd 0 - 1 Bolton
Bolton 1 - 1 Cambridge
Exeter 0 - 1 Bolton
Bolton 4 - 0 Plymouth
Sheff Weds 1 - 1 Bolton
Bolton 0 - 2 Ipswich