League One

League One | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
3 - 2
Burton Albion

Rak-Sakyi (7', 17'), Bonne (50')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hughes (45+2'), Walker (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Charlton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Burton Albion
55.25% ( -0.42)	22.43% ( 0.16)	22.32% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 57.05% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.69% (

-0.43)

42.31% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.28% (

-0.43)

64.71% (

0.43)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79% (

-0.28)

15.21% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.15% (

-0.54)

43.85% (

0.54)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.28% (

-0.01)

32.72% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.72% (

-0.01)

69.27% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 55.25%

Burton Albion 22.32%

Draw 22.43%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Burton Albion
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 55.25%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.43%	1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 22.32%