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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 41.65% | 26.22% | 32.12% |
| Both teams to score 52.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% | 51.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.43% | 73.57% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% | 24.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% | 59.09% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% | 66.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 8.75% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.12% |