Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.