EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
3 - 1
Southampton

Nadesan (12'), McKenzie (51', 67')
Lapslie (27'), Jefferies (58'), McKenzie (65'), Ehmer (88'), Gbode (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alcaraz (89')
Martin (28'), Perraud (44'), Charles (64'), Lyanco (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Gillingham and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Stockport 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Southampton
Friday, August 4 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Southampton
15.61% ( -0.01)	20.53% ( -0.01)	63.87% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.16% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.84% (

0.02)

44.16% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.46% (

0.02)

66.54% (

-0.01)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.89%

41.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.35% (

77.65% (

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.86% (

0.01)

13.14% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.2% (

0.02)

39.8% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 15.61%

Southampton 63.86%

Draw 20.53%

Gillingham	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 4.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 15.61%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.53%	0-2 @ 11.12% 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.69% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.82% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 63.86%