Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton in this match.