Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Southampton4 - 4Liverpool
The Match
Match Report
Southampton and Liverpool both come from two goals down in a madcap 4-4 draw on the final day of the 2022-23 Premier League season.
Team News
Caoimhin Kelleher, Roberto Firmino and James Milner all start for Liverpool against Southampton at St Mary's in their Premier League finale.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League final day clash between Southampton and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Liverpool could line up for their final game of the 2022-23 Premier League season against rock-bottom Southampton at St Mary's.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League fixture against Southampton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Liverpool |
15.67% ( 0.01) | 20.12% ( -0.01) | 64.21% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
