Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
65.38% | 18.43% ( 0.05) | 16.19% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.19% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.93% ( -0.35) | 33.07% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.19% ( -0.41) | 54.81% ( 0.41) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.49% ( -0.09) | 9.51% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.12% ( -0.23) | 31.88% ( 0.23) |
Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% ( -0.28) | 33.49% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.88% ( -0.31) | 70.12% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.71% Total : 65.38% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.43% | 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 16.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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