Premier League Gameweek 37
May 21, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Evan Ferguson 29' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 40' goal
  • Pascal Gross 69' goal
  • goal Mohamed Elyounoussi 58'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2023 7.30pm
Newcastle 4 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Alexis Mac Allister

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
Southampton 0 - 2 Fulham
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
James Ward-Prowse

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 71.85% (-0.20)
Draw 17.43% (+0.17)
Southampton 10.72% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.32% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.2% (-0.71)
Under 2.5 41.79% (+0.71)
Over 3.5 35.8% (-0.72)
Under 3.5 64.2% (+0.72)
Over 4.5 18.87% (-0.55)
Under 4.5 81.13% (+0.55)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 89.71% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 10.29% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 66.3% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 33.69% (+0.54)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 52.75% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 47.25% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 17.32% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 82.68% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 71.84%
Draw 17.43%
Southampton 10.72%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-0 @ 12.57% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 11.05% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 9.53% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 71.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.29% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.86% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.43%
Southampton
0-1 @ 3.65% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 3.11% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 10.72%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • James Ward-Prowse 73' goal
  • goal Adam Lallana 14'
  • goal Romain Perraud 35' (OG)
  • goal Solly March 56'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Danny Welbeck 2' goal
  • Mohammed Salisu 44' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 45'+4'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 54'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Armando Broja 29' goal
  • Nathan Tella 69' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Salisu 80' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Elyounoussi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shane Duffy 45'
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 74'
  • goal Neal Maupay 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2021 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Che Adams 27' goal
  • goal Lewis Dunk 16'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 56'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Dec 7, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Pascal Gross 26' goal
  • Lewis Dunk 56' yellowcard
  • Pascal Gross 80' yellowcard
  • Yves Bissouma 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moussa Djenepo 13'
  • goal Jannik Vestergaard 45'
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 47'
  • goal Danny Ings 81'
  • yellowcard Alex McCarthy 87'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Jul 16, 2020 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Oriol Romeu 7' yellowcard
  • Danny Ings 66' goal
  • goal Neal Maupay 17'