Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
3 - 1
Southampton

Ferguson (29', 40'), Gross (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Elyounoussi (58')

Reaction

Brighton & Hove Albion manager Roberto De Zerbi during the lap of appreciation after the match on May 21, 2023

Brighton's Roberto De Zerbi: 'We want Europa League not Conference League'

Roberto De Zerbi urges Brighton & Hove Albion to secure a place in next season's Europa League rather than settle for a Europa Conference League spot, following Sunday's 3-1 Premier League win over Southampton.

May 21, 16:50

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for Europe next season courtesy of a 3-1 Premier League win over Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Brighton
Thursday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Southampton
71.85% ( -0.2)	17.43% ( 0.17)	10.72% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.32% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.2% (

-0.7)

41.79% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.8% (

-0.71)

64.2% (

0.71)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.71% (

-0.24)

10.29% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.3% (

-0.54)

33.69% (

0.54)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.75% (

-0.41)

47.25% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.32% (

-0.31)

82.68% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 71.84%

Southampton 10.72%

Draw 17.43%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Southampton
2-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 71.84%	1-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 17.43%	0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 10.72%