Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Fulham |
| 34.72% ( | 26.16% ( | 39.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% ( | 51.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( | 72.88% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( | 28.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% ( | 63.77% ( |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( | 25.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( | 60.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.11% |