Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Fulham

Mings (21')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Tyrone Mings scores the only goal as Aston Villa beat Fulham 1-0 to move into fifth in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fulham

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Fulham
50.66% ( -0.01)	23.6% ( -0)	25.73% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.07% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.87% (

0.01)

44.13% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.49% (

0.01)

66.51% (

-0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.51% (

-0)

17.49% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.02% (

-0)

47.98%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

0.01)

30.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.89% (

0.01)

67.11% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 50.66%

Fulham 25.73%

Draw 23.6%

Aston Villa	Draw	Fulham
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.66%	1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 25.73%