Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa1 - 0Fulham
The Match
Match Report
Tyrone Mings scores the only goal as Aston Villa beat Fulham 1-0 to move into fifth in the Premier League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Fulham |
50.66% ( -0.01) | 23.6% ( -0) | 25.73% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
