Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Fulham |
74.93% ( -1.17) | 15.38% ( 0.81) | 9.68% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( -1.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.94% ( -3.03) | 35.05% ( 3.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.95% ( -3.45) | 57.05% ( 3.45) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.1% ( -0.93) | 7.89% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.06% ( -2.42) | 27.93% ( 2.42) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.3% ( -1.46) | 44.69% ( 1.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.31% ( -1.19) | 80.69% ( 1.19) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Fulham |
2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.69) 3-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.93) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.38) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.27) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.33) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.24) 6-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.18) 6-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.2) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.95% Total : 74.93% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.52) Other @ 0.95% Total : 15.38% | 1-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.8% Total : 9.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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