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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Leicester logo

Fulham
5 - 3
Leicester

Willian (10', 70'), Vinicius (18'), Cairney (44', 51')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Barnes (59', 89'), Maddison (81' pen.)
Barnes (24'), Maddison (58'), Soumare (70')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City's Premier League survival hopes suffer possibly their most damaging blow yet in a chaotic 5-3 defeat to mid-table Fulham at Craven Cottage.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fulham
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Everton
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawLeicester City
38.33% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 24.94%36.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.44% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)57.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 38.33%
    Leicester City 36.72%
    Draw 24.93%
FulhamDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 36.72%

How you voted: Fulham vs Leicester

Fulham
45.8%
Draw
25.4%
Leicester City
28.9%
142
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 3, 2021 6pm
gameweek 22
Fulham
0-2
Leicester

Reed (24'), Aina (59'), Cavaleiro (89')
Iheanacho (17'), Justin (44')
Mendy (72')
Nov 30, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 10
Leicester
1-2
Fulham
Barnes (86')
Lookman (30'), Cavaleiro (38' pen.)
Reed (18'), Adarabioyo (89')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
gameweek 30
Leicester
3-1
Fulham
Tielemans (21'), Vardy (78', 86')
Ayite (51')
Babel (55'), Bryan (60')
Dec 5, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Fulham
1-1
Leicester
Kamara (42')
Maddison (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
11Bournemouth34129134960-1145
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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