Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 74.14% ( | 16.18% ( | 9.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.96% ( | 39.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.64% ( | 61.36% ( |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.97% ( | 9.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.26% ( | 30.74% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.55% ( | 47.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.18% ( | 82.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-0 @ 12.38% ( 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 3-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 3-1 @ 7.4% ( 4-0 @ 5.97% ( 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 5-0 @ 2.87% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 6-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.89% Total : 74.13% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 2-2 @ 3.44% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 1-2 @ 2.86% ( 0-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 9.68% |