Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Aston Villa |
74.14% ( 0.03) | 16.18% ( -0.02) | 9.68% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.81% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.96% ( 0.04) | 39.04% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.64% ( 0.04) | 61.36% ( -0.04) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.97% ( 0.02) | 9.03% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.26% ( 0.04) | 30.74% ( -0.04) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.55% ( -0) | 47.45% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.18% ( 0) | 82.82% |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 74.13% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 9.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 75 | 32 | 43 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 36 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 16 |
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