Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

May 6, 2023 at 3pm UK

Molineux

Wolves
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Gomes (9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Wolverhampton Wanderers head coach Julen Lopetegui on May 6, 2023.

Julen Lopetegui: 'Premier League survival with Wolves my most important achievement'

Julen Lopetegui says that guiding Wolverhampton Wanderers to Premier League survival is "the most important achievement" of his career.

May 6, 18:00

The Match

Match Report

Wolverhampton Wanderers defeat West Midlands rivals Aston Villa 1-0 at Molineux.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Brighton 6-0 Wolves
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Aston Villa
42.54% ( 0.02)	26.29% ( 0)	31.18% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.62% (

-0.02)

52.38% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.94% (

-0.01)

74.06% (

0.02)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6%

24.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.18% (

-0)

58.82% (

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91% (

-0.02)

31.09% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59% (

-0.02)

67.41% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 42.54%

Aston Villa 31.18%

Draw 26.28%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.54%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.18%