Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 2

Aug 20, 2023 at 2pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
4 - 0
Everton

McGinn (18'), Luiz (24' pen.), Bailey (51'), Duran (75')
Luiz (14'), Digne (33'), Archer (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pickford (24'), Keane (45+4'), Gueye (45+9'), Patterson (86')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa record their first win of the 2023-24 Premier League season by thumping a disappointing Everton 4-0 at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Everton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 0-1 Fulham
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Everton
39.6% ( -2.39)	26.37% ( 0.24)	34.03% ( 2.15)

Both teams to score 52.71% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.01% (

-0.48)

51.99% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27% (

-0.41)

73.73% (

0.42)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24% (

-1.46)

25.76% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.3% (

-2.02)

60.69% (

2.03)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99% (

1.17)

29.01% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.09% (

1.42)

64.91% (

-1.42)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 39.6%

Everton 34.03%

Draw 26.37%

Aston Villa	Draw	Everton
1-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.6%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.03%