Premier League
Gameweek
2
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-
Douglas Luiz
14'
-
John McGinn
18'
-
Douglas Luiz
24'
-
Lucas Digne
33'
-
Leon Bailey
51'
-
Jhon Duran
75'
-
Cameron Archer
89'
-
Jordan Pickford
24'
-
Michael Keane
45'+4'
-
Idrissa Gueye
45'+9'
-
Nathan Patterson
86'
Aston Villa vs Everton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result
Aston Villa
39.6%
▼
(-2.39)
Draw
26.37%
▲
(+0.25)
Everton
34.03%
▲
(+2.15)
Both Teams to Score:
52.71%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.01%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 2.5
51.99%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 3.5
26.27%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 3.5
73.73%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 4.5
12.17%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 4.5
87.83%
▲
(+0.28)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
74.24%
▼
(-1.46)
Under 0.5
25.76%
▲
(+1.47)
Over 1.5
39.3%
▼
(-2.03)
Under 1.5
60.69%
▲
(+2.03)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5
70.99%
▲
(+1.17)
Under 0.5
29.01%
▼
(-1.17)
Over 1.5
35.09%
▲
(+1.42)
Under 1.5
64.91%
▼
(-1.42)
Score analysis
Aston Villa
39.6%
Draw
26.37%
Everton
34.03%
Aston Villa
1-0
@
10.13%
▼
(-0.24)
2-1 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.29)
2-0 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.47)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.36)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.6%
2-1 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.29)
2-0 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.47)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.36)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.6%
Draw
1-1
@
12.54%
▲
(+0.12)
0-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.37%
0-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.37%
Everton
0-1
@
9.25%
▲
(+0.47)
1-2 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.46)
1-3 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.23)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 34.03%
1-2 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.46)
1-3 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.23)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.26)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 34.03%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
25
-
Ollie Watkins
63'
-
Emiliano Buendia
81'
Premier League
Gameweek
2
-
Philippe Coutinho
29'
-
Danny Ings
31'
-
Lucas Digne
49'
-
Danny Ings
75'
-
Emiliano Buendia
85'
-
Ashley Young
90'+8'
-
Tom Davies
43'
-
Lucas Digne
87'
(OG)
Premier League
Gameweek
23
-
Andre Gomes
45'+1'
-
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
50'
-
Yerry Mina
58'
-
Allan
82'
-
Ben Godfrey
83'
-
Emiliano Buendia
45'+3'
-
Emiliano Martinez
69'
-
Matty Cash
75'
-
Tyrone Mings
86'
-
Danny Ings
90'+3'
Premier League
Gameweek
5
-
Matty Cash
66'
-
Lucas Digne
69'
-
Leon Bailey
75'
-
Leon Bailey
76'
-
Ben Godfrey
72'
Premier League
Gameweek
19
-
Bertrand Traore
43'
-
John McGinn
90'
-
Gylfi Sigurdsson
55'
Premier League
Gameweek
34
-
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
19'
-
Ollie Watkins
13'
-
Douglas Luiz
41'
-
Anwar El Ghazi
80'
-
Anwar El Ghazi
90'