Premier League
Gameweek
38
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-
Douglas Luiz
8'
-
Ollie Watkins
26'
-
Deniz Undav
38'
Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result
Aston Villa
37.15%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
23.79%
▲
(+0.03)
Brighton & Hove Albion
39.06%
▼
(-0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
62.25%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.15%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
39.84%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
37.8%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
62.2%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
20.4%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
79.6%
▲
(+0.10)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
78.44%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
21.56%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
45.36%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
54.64%
▼
(-0.05)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5
79.37%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
20.63%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
46.8%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
53.2%
▲
(+0.23)
Score analysis
Aston Villa
37.15%
Draw
23.79%
Brighton & Hove Albion
39.06%
Aston Villa
2-1
@
8.26%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.15%
1-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.15%
Draw
1-1
@
10.77%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.79%
2-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.79%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2
@
8.5%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.06%
0-1 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.06%
Head to Head
Club Friendlies 1
-
Danny Ings
67'
-
Arjan Raikhy
85'
-
Deniz Undav
75'
-
Deniz Undav
81'
Premier League
Gameweek
16
-
Alexis Mac Allister
1'
-
Danny Ings
20'
-
Danny Ings
54'
Premier League
Gameweek
27
-
Marc Cucurella
16'
-
Leandro Trossard
25'
-
Yves Bissouma
57'
-
Joel Veltman
58'
-
Matty Cash
17'
-
Matty Cash
19'
-
Douglas Luiz
25'
-
Tyrone Mings
40'
-
Ollie Watkins
40'
-
Ollie Watkins
68'
-
Emiliano Martinez
83'
Premier League
Gameweek
12
-
Marvelous Nakamba
59'
-
Ollie Watkins
84'
-
Tyrone Mings
89'
-
Ezri Konsa
90'+3'
-
Matty Cash
90'+4'
-
Marc Cucurella
49'
-
Adam Webster
67'
-
Alexis Mac Allister
90'+3'
Premier League
Gameweek
24
-
Steven Alzate
20'
-
Leandro Trossard
77'
-
Jack Grealish
21'
-
Douglas Luiz
70'
-
Morgan Sanson
89'
Premier League
Gameweek
9
-
Matt Targett
44'
-
Ezri Konsa
47'
-
Jack Grealish
90'+1'
-
Danny Welbeck
12'
-
Solly March
56'
-
Yves Bissouma
69'
-
Tariq Lamptey
88'
-
Tariq Lamptey
90'+1'