Premier League Gameweek 32
Brighton
May 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Man City
  • Julio Enciso 38' goal
  • goal Phil Foden 25'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
May 21, 2023 2.00pm
Brighton 3 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Alexis Mac Allister

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
May 21, 2023 4.00pm
Man City 1 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Erling Braut Haaland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 24.83% ▲ (+0.41)
Draw 23.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Manchester City 51.7% ▼ (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.61% ▲ (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 82.98% ▼ (-0.03)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.34% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 0.5 31.66% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 1.5 31.93% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 68.07% ▼ (-0.42)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 82.83% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 17.17% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 52.58% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 47.42% ▲ (+0.29)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 24.83%
Draw 23.46%
Manchester City 51.7%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.46%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 51.7%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 13
Man City
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Brighton
  • Erling Braut Haaland 22' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 43' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 75' goal
  • goal Leandro Trossard 53'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Man City
Apr 20, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
  • Riyad Mahrez 53' goal
  • Phil Foden 65' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 82' goal
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 79'
  • yellowcard Adam Webster 81'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 89'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Brighton
Oct 23, 2021 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Man City
  • Jakub Moder 63' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 70' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 81' goal
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 13'
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 22'
  • goal Phil Foden 28'
  • goal Phil Foden 31'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 60'
  • yellowcard Ederson 84'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Brighton
May 18, 2021 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Man City
  • Alireza Jahanbakhsh 27' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 50' goal
  • Adam Webster 72' goal
  • Dan Burn 76' goal
  • Adam Webster 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Robert Sanchez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 2'
  • redcard Joao Cancelo 10'
  • goal Phil Foden 48'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 73'
  • yellowcard Rodri 79'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 82'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Man City
Jan 13, 2021 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Brighton
  • Phil Foden 44' goal
  • yellowcard Joel Veltman 62'
  • yellowcard Adam Webster 77'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Brighton
Jul 11, 2020 8.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Man City
  • Yves Bissouma 83' yellowcard
  • goal Raheem Sterling 21'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 44'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 53'
  • goal Bernardo Silva 56'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 81'

Form Data

Brighton 3 - 1 Southampton
Newcastle 4 - 1 Brighton
Arsenal 0 - 3 Brighton
Brighton 1 - 5 Everton
Brighton 1 - 0 Man Utd
Brighton 6 - 0 Wolves
Man City 1 - 0 Chelsea
Man City 4 - 0 Real Madrid
Everton 0 - 3 Man City
Real Madrid 1 - 1 Man City
Man City 2 - 1 Leeds
Man City 3 - 0 West Ham

Build-up

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