Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
5 - 1
Aston Villa

Tonali (6'), Isak (16', 58'), Wilson (77'), Barnes (90+1')
Botman (45+9'), Gordon (53'), Guimaraes (67'), Tonali (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Diaby (11')
Luiz (6'), Digne (32'), Martinez (45+9'), Cash (48')

Reaction

Aston Villa's Tyrone Mings is carried off the pitch in a stretcher after sustaining an injury on August 12, 2023

Aston Villa confirm lengthy Tyrone Mings injury absence

Aston Villa confirm that Tyrone Mings has suffered a "significant knee injury" that will require surgery and result in a lengthy spell on the sidelines.

Aug 14, 08:32

Tyrone Mings stretchered off in Aston Villa season opener

Aston Villa suffer a major setback in their opening match of the new season as Tyrone Mings is stretchered off with a serious-looking knee injury.

Aug 12, 17:24

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United produce a scintillating attacking display to crush Aston Villa 5-1 at St James' Park, with Harvey Barnes and Sandro Tonali scoring on their debuts.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Villarreal
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Aston Villa
53.2% ( -0.16)	24.23% ( 0.06)	22.57% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.2% (

-0.15)

49.79% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.2% (

-0.13)

71.79% (

0.13)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.34% (

-0.12)

18.66% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.02% (

-0.19)

49.98% (

0.19)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.34% (

0.01)

36.66% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.55% (

0.01)

73.44% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 53.2%

Aston Villa 22.57%

Draw 24.22%

Newcastle United	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 53.2%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 22.57%