Premier League Gameweek 1
Newcastle
Aug 12, 2023 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT St. James' Park
Aston Villa
  • Sandro Tonali 6' goal
  • Alexander Isak 16' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 53' yellowcard
  • Sven Botman 45'+9' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 58' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 67' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 77' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 90'+1' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 6'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 11'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 32'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 48'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 45'+9'

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Chelsea 1 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 53.2% ▼ (-0.16)
Draw 24.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Aston Villa 22.57% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.52% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.2% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 49.79% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 28.2% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 71.79% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 13.45% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.55% ▲ (+0.09)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 81.34% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 18.66% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 50.02% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 49.98% ▲ (+0.20)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 63.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 53.2%
Draw 24.22%
Aston Villa 22.57%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.48% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 53.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 24.22%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 22.57%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Newcastle
Jul 24, 2023 12.00am
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Lincoln Financial Field
Aston Villa
  • Elliott Anderson 28' goal
  • Alexander Isak 45' goal
  • Callum Wilson 55' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 7'
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 11'
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 48'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Aston Villa
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Jacob Ramsey 11' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 64' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 83' goal
Premier League Gameweek 14
Newcastle
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Callum Wilson 45'+5' goal
  • Callum Wilson 56' goal
  • Joelinton 59' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 67' goal
Premier League Gameweek 25
Newcastle
Feb 13, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Kieran Trippier 35' goal
  • Joelinton 39' yellowcard
  • Dan Burn 66' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John McGinn 42'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 89'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Douglas Luiz 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Danny Ings 45'+3' goal
  • Anwar El Ghazi 62' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendia 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 41'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 45'
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 57'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 84'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Newcastle
Mar 12, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Emil Krafth 52' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 68' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard John McGinn 74'
  • yellowcard Morgan Sanson 77'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 78'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 86'

Form Data

Newcastle 4 - 0 Villarreal
Newcastle 2 - 0 Fiorentina
Brighton 1 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 1 Chelsea
Newcastle 3 - 3 Aston Villa
Rangers 1 - 2 Newcastle
Valencia 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3 - 0 Lazio
Aston Villa 3 - 3 Brentford
Fulham 0 - 2 Aston Villa
Newcastle 3 - 3 Aston Villa
Walsall 1 - 1 Aston Villa

Build-up

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