Conference League
Aug 23, 2023 5.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Martin Boyle 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Watkins 17'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 21'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 33'
  • goal Leon Bailey 42'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 48'
  • goal Douglas Luiz 74'

Hibernian vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Hibernian 36.25% (+0.11)
Draw 24.4% (+0.03)
Aston Villa 39.34% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.87% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.1% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 42.9% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 34.7% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 65.3% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 18.04% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 81.96% (+0.10)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5 76.59% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.41%
Over 1.5 42.6% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.4% (+0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 78.17% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 21.83% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 44.95% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 55.05% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Hibernian 36.26%
Draw 24.4%
Aston Villa 39.34%
Hibernian
2-1 @ 8.2% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.42% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.39% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.97% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.61% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.11% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.4%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.78% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 39.34%