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UEFA Conference League

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Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Hibernian
0 - 5
Aston Villa


Boyle (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Watkins (17', 33', 48'), Bailey (42'), Luiz (74' pen.)
Digne (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa Conference League clash between Hibernian and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 Raith Rovers
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Scottish League Cup

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Everton
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawAston Villa
36.25% (0.11 0.11)24.4% (0.027999999999999 0.03)39.34% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 59.87% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (-0.133 -0.13)42.9% (0.13 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (-0.13 -0.13)65.3% (0.129 0.13)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)23.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (-0.128 -0.13)21.83% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95% (-0.193 -0.19)55.05% (0.192 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 36.26%
    Aston Villa 39.34%
    Draw 24.4%
HibernianDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 36.26%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Aston Villa

Hibernian
11.9%
Draw
9.7%
Aston Villa
78.4%
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