Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.