Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
| 42.95% ( | 25.42% | 31.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.39% ( | 48.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.27% ( | 70.73% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( | 22.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.85% ( | 56.14% ( |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( | 28.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% ( | 64.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.63% |