Scottish Premiership Gameweek 38
May 27, 2023 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Yutaro Oda 8' goal
  • goal Kevin Nisbet 31'

Hearts vs Hibernian - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Rangers 2 - 2 Hearts
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Hibernian 4 - 2 Celtic
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Hearts 42.89% (-2.56)
Draw 23.44% (+0.23)
Hibernian 33.66% (+2.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.85% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.22% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 38.78% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 38.91% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 61.09% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 21.27% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 78.73% (+0.14)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 81.52% (-1.11)
Under 0.5 18.47% (+1.10)
Over 1.5 50.33% (-1.90)
Under 1.5 49.67% (+1.89)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5 77.09% (+1.26)
Under 0.5 22.91% (-1.27)
Over 1.5 43.33% (+1.83)
Under 1.5 56.67% (-1.83)

Score analysis

Hearts 42.89%
Draw 23.44%
Hibernian 33.66%
Hearts
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.24)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.40)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.33)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.36)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.22)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.21)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 42.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.55% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.23% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.81% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
Hibernian
1-2 @ 7.76% (+0.35)
0-1 @ 6.24% (+0.28)
0-2 @ 4.6% (+0.37)
1-3 @ 3.81% (+0.31)
2-3 @ 3.22% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.26% (+0.26)
1-4 @ 1.4% (+0.16)
2-4 @ 1.19% (+0.10)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.66%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin Nisbet 67' goal
Scottish Cup
Jan 22, 2023 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • goal Josh Ginnelly 10'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 72'
  • goal Toby Sibbick 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lawrence Shankland 8' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 38' goal
  • Stephen Humphrys 90'+4' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 7, 2022 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Ryan Porteous 35' yellowcard
  • Marijan Cabraja 64' yellowcard
  • Ewan Henderson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Martin Boyle 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 22'
  • yellowcard Peter Haring 85'
Scottish Cup
Apr 16, 2022 12.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Hampden Park
  • Ellis Simms 16' goal
  • Stephen Kingsley 21' goal
  • Alex Cochrane 70' yellowcard
  • Peter Haring 82' yellowcard
  • Taylor Moore 84' yellowcard
  • Craig Gordon 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Newell 11'
  • goal Chris Cadden 22'
  • yellowcard Harry Clarke 25'
  • yellowcard James Scott 48'
  • redcard Joe Newell 64'
  • yellowcard Josh Campbell 82'
  • yellowcard Paul Hanlon 82'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Andy Halliday 45'+1' goal
  • Stephen Kingsley 47' goal
  • Andy Halliday 58' goal
  • Peter Haring 70' yellowcard
  • goal Drey Wright 5'
  • yellowcard Jake Doyle-Hayes 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Chris Mueller 57'
  • yellowcard Rocky Bushiri 71'