Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.