Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38

May 27, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
1 - 1
Hibernian

Oda (8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nisbet (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Rangers 2-2 Hearts
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hibernian

All competitions

Last Game: Hibernian 4-2 Celtic
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
42.89% ( -2.55)	23.44% ( 0.22)	33.66% ( 2.33)

Both teams to score 62.85% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.22% (

-0.17)

38.78% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.91% (

-0.18)

61.09% (

0.17)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

-1.1)

18.47% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33% (

-1.89)

49.67% (

1.89)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

1.26)

22.91% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.33% (

1.82)

56.67% (

-1.83)

Score Analysis

Hearts 42.89%

Hibernian 33.66%

Draw 23.44%

Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.61% Total : 42.89%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.66%