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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Aberdeen logo

Hearts
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Ginnelly (43'), Shankland (56')
Devlin (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pollock (31')
Hayes (11'), Robson (12'), Watkins (25'), Miovski (49'), Ramadani (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 Hibernian
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 1-1 Aberdeen

The home side have won each of the last five meetings between Hearts and Aberdeen, which bodes well for the former who need to claim maximum points to boost their hopes of securing third place. However, a tighter affair could be in store this time around and with little to separate the two teams, a score draw may be played out at Tynecastle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawAberdeen
44.52% (-0.309 -0.31) 23.28% (0.517 0.52) 32.19% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 62.85% (-2.037 -2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.47% (-2.629 -2.63)38.53% (2.63 2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.17% (-2.838 -2.84)60.82% (2.839 2.84)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (-1.159 -1.16)17.7% (1.162 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (-2.048 -2.05)48.35% (2.049 2.05)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-1.378 -1.38)23.62% (1.38 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-2.027 -2.03)57.71% (2.029 2.03)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 44.52%
    Aberdeen 32.19%
    Draw 23.27%
HeartsDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.62 0.62)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.312 0.31)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 44.52%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.488 0.49)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.502 0.5)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.503 0.5)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.197 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.19%

How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen

Hearts
73.7%
Draw
21.1%
Aberdeen
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
gameweek 29
Aberdeen
3-0
Hearts
Lopes (5', 21'), Pollock (28')
Miovski (68'), Ramadani (68'), Watkins (90+3')

Shankland (37'), Hill (68'), Sibbick (68')
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 22
Hearts
5-0
Aberdeen
Shinnie (15' og.), Smith (28'), Shankland (40' pen.), Ginnelly (45+1'), Devlin (61')
Rowles (55')

Lopes (39')
Oct 16, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Aberdeen
2-0
Hearts
Lopes (74'), Besuijen (79')
Richardson (2')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 29
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Souttar (38'), Kingsley (60')
Devlin (67')

Brown (37')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 12
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Watkins (49'), Ferguson (69')
McCrorie (59'), Campbell (82')
Souttar (45+2' pen.)
Woodburn (61'), Halkett (86')
Halliday (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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