Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 2pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
3 - 0
Aston Villa

Szoboszlai (3'), Cash (22' og.), Salah (55')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kamara (26')

Reaction

Dominik Szoboszlai celebrates opening the scoring for Liverpool on September 2, 2023

Jurgen Klopp lauds "machine" Dominik Szoboszlai following Aston Villa victory

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp waxes lyrical about "machine" Dominik Szobozlai after the Hungarian scored his first goal for the club in their 3-0 win over Aston Villa.

Sep 3, 20:48

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 Liverpool
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Hibernian
Thursday, August 31 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Aston Villa
52.33% ( 0.15)	22.18% ( -0.02)	25.48% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 61.8% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.23% (

-0.05)

37.77% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.98% (

-0.05)

60.02% (

0.05)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.41% (

0.03)

14.59% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.32% (

0.06)

42.67% (

-0.07)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35% (

-0.13)

27.65% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.81% (

-0.17)

63.19% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 52.33%

Aston Villa 25.48%

Draw 22.18%

Liverpool	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.25% Total : 52.33%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.18%	1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 25.48%