Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Anthony Gordon 25' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 6'
  • redcard Virgil van Dijk 28'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 81'
  • yellowcard Darwin Nunez 85'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 90'+3'

Newcastle United vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 8.00pm
Man City 1 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
Liverpool 3 - 1 Bournemouth
Goals scored
86
Top scorer
Mohamed Salah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match.

Result

Newcastle United 37% (-4.46)
Draw 23.86% (+0.84)
Liverpool 39.14% (+3.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

62% (-2.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.83% (-3.97)
Under 2.5 40.17% (+3.96)
Over 3.5 37.46% (-4.22)
Under 3.5 62.54% (+4.22)
Over 4.5 20.14% (-3.37)
Under 4.5 79.86% (+3.37)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 78.22% (-3.77)
Under 0.5 21.78% (+3.77)
Over 1.5 45.02% (-6.08)
Under 1.5 54.98% (+6.08)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 79.26% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.73% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.64% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.36% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 37%
Draw 23.86%
Liverpool 39.14%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.38)
1-0 @ 6.88% (+0.48)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.74)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.59)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.47)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.52)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.41)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.33)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.83% (+0.76)
2-2 @ 6.49% (-0.30)
0-0 @ 4.52% (+0.78)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.31)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.86%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 8.52% (+0.60)
0-1 @ 7.11% (+1.23)
0-2 @ 5.59% (+0.97)
1-3 @ 4.47% (+0.32)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 2.93% (+0.51)
1-4 @ 1.76% (+0.13)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-94.15)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.14%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 18, 2023 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Darwin Nunez 10'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 17'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Roberto Firmino 61' goal
  • Fabio Carvalho 90'+8' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 38'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joelinton 43' yellowcard
  • goal Naby Keita 19'
  • yellowcard Diogo Jota 43'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 51'
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 68'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 16, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Diogo Jota 21' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 25' goal
  • Jordan Henderson 70' yellowcard
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold 87' goal
  • goal Jonjo Shelvey 7'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fraser 55'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 86'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 24, 2021 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mohamed Salah 3' goal
  • Ozan Kabak 9' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Fernandez 16'
  • goal Joe Willock 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 30, 2020 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ciaran Clark 12' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hayden 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabinho 49'
  • yellowcard James Milner 65'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Phillips 78'

Build-up

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