Premier League Gameweek 2
Man City
Aug 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Julian Alvarez 31' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 23'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 34'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 53'
  • yellowcard Harvey Barnes 58'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 71'

Manchester City vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 11, 2023 8.00pm
Burnley 0 - 3 Man City
Goals scored
96
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 12, 2023 5.30pm
Newcastle 5 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.28%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 56.28% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 20.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Newcastle United 23.51% ▲ (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.86% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.8% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 30.19% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 48.57% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 51.42% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 29.44% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 70.55% ▲ (+0.12)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 89.1% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 10.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 64.95% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 35.04% ▲ (+0.20)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 75.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 24.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 40.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.6% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Manchester City 56.28%
Draw 20.2%
Newcastle United 23.51%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 9.27% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 56.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20.2%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 23.51%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 26
Man City
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Phil Foden 15' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 67' goal
Premier League Gameweek 3
Newcastle
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Man City
  • Bruno Guimaraes 8' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 28' goal
  • Fabian Schar 34' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 39' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 54' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 76' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 5'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 18'
  • yellowcard John Stones 52'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 60'
  • goal Bernardo Silva 64'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Man City
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Raheem Sterling 19' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 38' goal
  • Rodri 61' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 75' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 90' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 31'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 70'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 89'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Newcastle
Dec 19, 2021 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Man City
  • Isaac Hayden 21' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Dias 5'
  • yellowcard Rodri 25'
  • goal Joao Cancelo 27'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 30'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 63'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 86'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Newcastle
May 14, 2021 8.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
Man City
  • Emil Krafth 25' goal
  • Matt Ritchie 36' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 45'+6' goal
  • Jonjo Shelvey 59' yellowcard
  • Joe Willock 62' goal
  • goal Joao Cancelo 39'
  • goal Ferran Torres 42'
  • yellowcard Rodri 44'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 56'
  • goal Ferran Torres 64'
  • goal Ferran Torres 66'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Man City
Dec 26, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Ilkay Gundogan 14' goal
  • Rodri 34' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 55' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 64'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 80'

Form Data

Man City 1 - 1 Sevilla
Burnley 0 - 3 Man City
Arsenal 1 - 1 Man City
Man City 1 - 2 Atletico
Bayern 1 - 2 Man City
Yokohama 3 - 5 Man City
Newcastle 5 - 1 Aston Villa
Newcastle 4 - 0 Villarreal
Newcastle 2 - 0 Fiorentina
Brighton 1 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 1 Chelsea
Newcastle 3 - 3 Aston Villa

Build-up

Team News
News
News