/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
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Anass Zaroury
90'+4'
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Erling Haaland
4'
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Erling Haaland
36'
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Rodri
75'
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Pep Guardiola
75'
Burnley vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Burnley
39.99%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
25.63%
▲
(+0.02)
Manchester City
34.38%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
55.24%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.23%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
48.77%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
29.12%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
70.87%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
14.07%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
85.93%
▲
(+0.04)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
75.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
24.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
41.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
58.38%
▲
(+0.01)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
72.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
27.23%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
37.35%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
62.65%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Burnley
39.99%
Draw
25.62%
Manchester City
34.38%
Burnley
1-0
@
9.34%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.99%
2-1 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.99%
Draw
1-1
@
12.14%
0-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
Manchester City
0-1
@
8.53%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.38%
1-2 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.38%
Head to Head
Build-up
Team News
News