Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 3
Man City

FT(HT: 0-2)

Haaland (4', 36'), Rodri (75')
Guardiola (75')

Reaction

Manchester City's Erling Haaland celebrates scoring against Burnley on August 11, 2023

Erling Haaland equals Didier Drogba scoring record in Burnley victory

Erling Haaland equals a Premier League scoring record set by Didier Drogba after netting a brace in Manchester City's 3-0 victory against Burnley at Turf Moor.

Aug 11, 22:50

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne after being substituted due to injury on August 11, 2023

Pep Guardiola confirms Kevin De Bruyne "will be out for a while" with hamstring injury

Pep Guardiola reveals that Kevin De Bruyne "will be out for a while" after limping off with a hamstring injury in Manchester City's 3-0 win over Burnley in the Premier League.

Aug 11, 22:25

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, August 5 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Man City (4-1 pen.)
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Community Shield

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Manchester City
39.99% ( 0.03)	25.63% ( 0.01)	34.38% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.23% (

-0.05)

48.77% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.12% (

-0.04)

70.87% (

0.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91% (

-0)

24.09% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.62% (

-0.01)

58.38% (

0.01)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.77% (

-0.05)

27.23% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.35% (

-0.06)

62.65% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Burnley 39.99%

Manchester City 34.38%

Draw 25.62%

Burnley	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.99%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.38%