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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcarlog.png)
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Josh Brownhill
27'
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Ashley Barnes
31'
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Scott Twine
57'
Burnley vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 11.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Burnley
69.01%
▲
(+1.18)
Draw
19.05%
▼
(-0.39)
Cardiff City
11.94%
▼
(-0.79)
Both Teams to Score:
46.03%
▼
(-1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.24%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 2.5
45.75%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 3.5
31.93%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 3.5
68.07%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 4.5
16.02%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
83.98%
▲
(+0.17)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
87.85%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 0.5
12.15%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
62.25%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 1.5
37.75%
▼
(-0.55)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5
52.39%
▼
(-1.47)
Under 0.5
47.61%
▲
(+1.47)
Over 1.5
17.06%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 1.5
82.94%
▲
(+1.11)
Score analysis
Burnley
69%
Draw
19.05%
Cardiff City
11.94%
Burnley
2-0
@
12.84%
▲
(+0.38)
1-0 @ 12.19% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.24)
4-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.12)
5-1 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 69%
1-0 @ 12.19% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.24)
4-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.12)
5-1 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 69%
Draw
1-1
@
9.05%
▼
(-0.20)
0-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.05%
0-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.05%
Cardiff City
0-1
@
4.29%
▼
(-0.14)
1-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 11.94%
1-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 11.94%
