Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
3 - 0
Cardiff

Brownhill (27'), Barnes (31'), Twine (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Huddersfield
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 11.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Cardiff City
69.01% ( 1.17)	19.05% ( -0.38)	11.94% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 46.03% (

-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.24% (

-0.24)

45.75% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.93% (

-0.23)

68.07% (

0.22)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.85% (

0.26)

12.15% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.25% (

0.54)

37.75% (

-0.54)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.39% (

-1.47)

47.61% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.06% (

-1.11)

82.94% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Burnley 69%

Cardiff City 11.94%

Draw 19.05%

Burnley	Draw	Cardiff City
2-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.12% Total : 69%	1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.05%	0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.7% Total : 11.94%