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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Cardiff City logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Cardiff

Brownhill (27'), Barnes (31'), Twine (57')
Roberts (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romeo (64'), Ng (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Huddersfield
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Cardiff City

Basing this on each team's last respective performances, one team will be motivated and the other less so. With that in mind, we expect the Clarets to cruise to a comfortable win, crowning their promotion campaign in the style in which it has been achieved. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 11.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
69.01% (1.17 1.17) 19.05% (-0.385 -0.38) 11.94% (-0.787 -0.79)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-1.151 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.24% (-0.239 -0.24)45.75% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-0.227 -0.23)68.07% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.256 0.26)12.15% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.25% (0.542 0.54)37.75% (-0.544 -0.54)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.39% (-1.465 -1.47)47.61% (1.463 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.06% (-1.11 -1.11)82.94% (1.109 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 69%
    Cardiff City 11.94%
    Draw 19.05%
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
2-0 @ 12.84% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 12.19% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.105 -0.1)
3-0 @ 9.03% (0.357 0.36)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.76% (0.234 0.23)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 69%
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.05%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 11.94%

How you voted: Burnley vs Cardiff

Burnley
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cardiff City
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Cardiff
1-1
Burnley
Robinson (90')
Nkounkou (32')
Tella (48')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
gameweek 34
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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