MX23RW : Wednesday, July 24 22:07:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Rotherham logo
Championship | Gameweek 38
Apr 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Rotherham
1 - 2
Cardiff

Ogbene (37')
Rathbone (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Etete (11'), Kipre (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Cardiff City

While each team knows the benefits of a win on Saturday, they are equally aware that they can ill-afford a defeat. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a competitive low-scoring draw play out at the New York Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
37.99% (0.125 0.13) 27.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 34.85% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.32% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.92% (0.021999999999998 0.02)55.08% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66% (0.019000000000002 0.02)76.33% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (0.079999999999998 0.08)28.11% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22% (0.104 0.1)63.78% (-0.104 -0.1)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.01% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.13% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 37.98%
    Cardiff City 34.85%
    Draw 27.16%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 37.98%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 34.85%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Cardiff

Rotherham United
31.9%
Draw
34.0%
Cardiff City
34.0%
94
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Cardiff
1-1
Rotherham
Pack (88')
Ralls (52')
Wing (8')
Ihiekwe (39'), Wiles (70')
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
gameweek 23
Rotherham
1-2
Cardiff
Crooks (61')
Ojo (42'), Bennett (85')
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
2-1
Cardiff
Palmer (31'), Smith (78')
Murphy (13')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Cardiff
5-0
Rotherham
Harris (11'), Hoilett (45'), Noone (49'), Zohore (54', 83')

Forde (63'), Belaid (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!