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Championship | Gameweek 38
Apr 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Rotherham
1 - 2
Cardiff

Ogbene (37')
Rathbone (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Etete (11'), Kipre (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Cardiff City

While each team knows the benefits of a win on Saturday, they are equally aware that they can ill-afford a defeat. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a competitive low-scoring draw play out at the New York Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
37.99% (0.125 0.13) 27.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 34.85% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.32% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.92% (0.021999999999998 0.02)55.08% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66% (0.019000000000002 0.02)76.33% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (0.079999999999998 0.08)28.11% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22% (0.104 0.1)63.78% (-0.104 -0.1)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.01% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.13% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 37.98%
    Cardiff City 34.85%
    Draw 27.16%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 37.98%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 34.85%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Cardiff

Rotherham United
31.9%
Draw
34.0%
Cardiff City
34.0%
94
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Cardiff
1-1
Rotherham
Pack (88')
Ralls (52')
Wing (8')
Ihiekwe (39'), Wiles (70')
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
gameweek 23
Rotherham
1-2
Cardiff
Crooks (61')
Ojo (42'), Bennett (85')
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
2-1
Cardiff
Palmer (31'), Smith (78')
Murphy (13')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Cardiff
5-0
Rotherham
Harris (11'), Hoilett (45'), Noone (49'), Zohore (54', 83')

Forde (63'), Belaid (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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