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Championship | Gameweek 38
Apr 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Rotherham
1 - 2
Cardiff

Ogbene (37')
Rathbone (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Etete (11'), Kipre (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Cardiff City

While each team knows the benefits of a win on Saturday, they are equally aware that they can ill-afford a defeat. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a competitive low-scoring draw play out at the New York Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
37.99% (0.125 0.13) 27.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 34.85% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.32% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.92% (0.021999999999998 0.02)55.08% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66% (0.019000000000002 0.02)76.33% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (0.079999999999998 0.08)28.11% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22% (0.104 0.1)63.78% (-0.104 -0.1)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.01% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.13% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 37.98%
    Cardiff City 34.85%
    Draw 27.16%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 37.98%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 34.85%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Cardiff

Rotherham United
31.9%
Draw
34.0%
Cardiff City
34.0%
94
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Cardiff
1-1
Rotherham
Pack (88')
Ralls (52')
Wing (8')
Ihiekwe (39'), Wiles (70')
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
gameweek 23
Rotherham
1-2
Cardiff
Crooks (61')
Ojo (42'), Bennett (85')
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
2-1
Cardiff
Palmer (31'), Smith (78')
Murphy (13')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Cardiff
5-0
Rotherham
Harris (11'), Hoilett (45'), Noone (49'), Zohore (54', 83')

Forde (63'), Belaid (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom12552137620
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich114521913617
9Middlesbrough11524119217
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
22Luton TownLuton123271420-611
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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