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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Cardiff City logo

Watford
1 - 3
Cardiff

Sarr (11')
Hoedt (40'), Davis (74'), Ngakia (77')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Etete (39'), Ralls (57'), O'Dowda (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Cardiff City

Cardiff have lost all momentum under Lamouchi at the wrong time when Watford may be increasingly optimistic about a late charge. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to produce a professional performance to record three points and a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCardiff City
55.1% (0.265 0.27) 24.28% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 20.62% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.113 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.87%52.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.102 0.1)18.81% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76% (0.17 0.17)50.24% (-0.17 -0.17)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07% (-0.214 -0.21)39.93% (0.215 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.196 -0.2)76.58% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Watford 55.09%
    Cardiff City 20.62%
    Draw 24.28%
WatfordDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.48% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 55.09%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.62%

How you voted: Watford vs Cardiff

Watford
83.3%
Draw
9.3%
Cardiff City
7.4%
54
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-5
Watford
Bamba (82')
Paterson (85')
Deulofeu (18', 61', 63'), Deeney (73', 91')
Capoue (30'), Pereyra (55')
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Watford
3-2
Cardiff
Deulofeu (16'), Holebas (52'), Quina (68')
Hoilett (80'), Reid (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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