Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Harry Cornick 6' goal
  • Joao Pedro 54' goal

Watford vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
Coventry 2 - 2 Watford
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Bristol City 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Nahki Wells

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result

Watford 51.42% (+0.08)
Draw 25.26% (-0.02)
Bristol City 23.32% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.32% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.85% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 53.14% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 25.28% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.72% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.54% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.46% (-0.01)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 79.32% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.68% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 46.73% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 53.27% (-0.06)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 62.18% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 37.82% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 25.41% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 74.59% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Watford 51.41%
Draw 25.25%
Bristol City 23.32%
Watford
1-0 @ 12.32% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 51.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.25%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.32%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Championship Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
6
0
HT : 4 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Taylor Moore 2' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 15' goal
  • Nathaniel Chalobah 17' yellowcard
  • Will Hughes 30' goal
  • Ken Sema 35' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 55' goal
  • Joao Pedro 81' yellowcard
  • Philip Zinckernagel 90' goal
  • yellowcard Taylor Moore 7'
  • yellowcard Famara Diedhiou 47'
  • yellowcard Kasey Palmer 81'
Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2020 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
FA Cup
Jan 6, 2018 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christian Kabasele 30' yellowcard
  • Andre Carrillo 37' goal
  • Troy Deeney 57' goal
  • Etienne Capoue 85' goal
EFL Cup
Aug 22, 2017 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Etienne Capoue 35' yellowcard
  • Etienne Capoue 47' goal
  • Jose Holebas 52' yellowcard
  • Jose Holebas 88' redcard
  • Adrian Mariappa 95' goal
  • goal Freddy Hinds 59'
  • goal Bobby Reid 67'
  • goal Niclas Eliasson 93'
FA Cup
Jan 14, 2014 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marco Davide Faraoni 29' goal
  • Lewis McGugan 64' goal
  • Gabriele Angella 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Wagstaff 83'