Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 0
Bristol City

Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 10 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Bristol City
51.42% ( 0.08)	25.26% ( -0.02)	23.32% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 49.32% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.85% (

0.02)

53.14% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.28% (

0.01)

74.72% (

-0.01)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

0.04)

20.68% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.73% (

0.06)

53.27% (

-0.06)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.18% (

-0.04)

37.82% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.41% (

-0.04)

74.59% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Watford 51.41%

Bristol City 23.32%

Draw 25.25%

Watford	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.41%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.32%